The Odds on America’s Collapse

jdiamond1Jared Diamond became a household name with his Pulitzer Prize-winning book Guns, Germs & Steel (2003). Later, the UCLA geographer climbed the charts again with Collapse: How Societies Choose to Fail or Succeed (2005). Now, based on this last book, he’s putting odds on whether the United States will survive this crisis, and he’s putting them only at 51-49. Not too great. And he goes on to say that our best chance of surviving is if America’s wealthy elite suffers far more than it already has. For more, listen here.

via Big Think’s Twitter Feed. Get our Twitter Feed here.


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  • Jared Diamond makes the point that for a society to be resilient the incentives of elites ( The rich and the Political Class) should be aligned. It sounds very obvious, I can see the parallel everywhere. The public education system in India and elsewhere is broken because the elites do no send their kids to these school.

  • kasia says:

    And we encourage religious segregation. There should be no religion, just good scientific education with lots of room for arts and sports.

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