When someÂone quesÂtions the effecÂtiveÂness of KeyÂneÂsian ecoÂnomÂics, the obviÂous reply is: RememÂber World War II?
The British econÂoÂmist John MayÂnard Keynes argued that there is a role for govÂernÂment interÂvenÂtion when aggreÂgate demand for goods and serÂvices drops, as it did durÂing the Great DepresÂsion. WithÂout increased pubÂlic spendÂing to make up for decreased priÂvate spendÂing, he said, an econÂoÂmy will slide into a vicious cirÂcle of low demand and low outÂput, ensurÂing a proÂlonged periÂod of high unemÂployÂment. GovÂernÂment thrift at such times will only deepÂen the probÂlem. “The boom, not the slump,” said Keynes, “is the right time for ausÂterÂiÂty.”
In 1939 dark clouds of war were gathÂerÂing over Europe, but Keynes saw a silÂver linÂing: an opporÂtuÂniÂty to prove his theÂoÂry corÂrect. He believed that the masÂsive govÂernÂment-fundÂed war mobiÂlizaÂtion would finalÂly give sufÂfiÂcient stimÂuÂlus to end the Great DepresÂsion. On May 23 of that year Keynes gave his famous BBC radio address, “Will Re-armaÂment Cure UnemÂployÂment?” He said, in part:
It is not an exagÂgerÂaÂtion to say that the end of abnorÂmal unemÂployÂment is in sight. And it isn’t only the unemÂployed who will feel the difÂferÂence. A great numÂber besides will be takÂing home betÂter monÂey each week. And with the demand for effiÂcient labor outÂrunÂning the supÂply, how much more comÂfortÂable and secure everyÂone will feel in his job. The Grand ExperÂiÂment has begun. If it works–if expenÂdiÂture on armaÂments realÂly does cure unemployment–I preÂdict that we shall nevÂer go back all the way to the old state of affairs. Good may come out of evil. We may learn a trick or two, which will come in useÂful when the day of peace comes.
When the day of peace did come, the Great DepresÂsion was over and EngÂland and AmerÂiÂca were embarked on a long periÂod of risÂing ecoÂnomÂic prosÂperÂiÂty. In these times of recesÂsion and govÂernÂment ausÂterÂiÂty, it may be good to rememÂber someÂthing else Keynes said in his radio address: “If we can cure unemÂployÂment for the wastÂed purÂposÂes of armaÂments, we can cure it for the proÂducÂtive purÂposÂes of peace.”
You can find Keynes’ clasÂsic work, The GenÂerÂal TheÂoÂry of EmployÂment, InterÂest and MonÂey, in our colÂlecÂtion of Free eBooks.
RelatÂed ConÂtent:





