Even if you hate or fear staÂtisÂtics, you’ve sureÂly become more than aware in recent months of one parÂticÂuÂlar staÂtisÂtiÂcian: Nate SilÂver. The young proÂfesÂsionÂal numÂber-crunchÂer has made the news in a big way for a legitÂiÂmateÂly impresÂsive staÂtisÂtiÂcal feat: preÂdictÂing the winÂner of all fifty states and the DisÂtrict of ColumÂbia in this year’s UnitÂed States presÂiÂdenÂtial elecÂtion. He came nearÂly as close back in 2008’s elecÂtion, preÂdictÂing the winÂner in 49 states. In between those coups, Time named SilÂver one of the world’s hunÂdred most influÂenÂtial peoÂple, and the New York Times has givÂen their offiÂcial impriÂmatur by hostÂing his blog FiveThirÂtyEight. Now he’s received what some would conÂsidÂer an even highÂer honÂor: an inviÂtaÂtion to sit down with Conan O’Brien for the betÂter part of an hour on SeriÂous JibÂber-JabÂber.
“ElecÂtions are probÂaÂbly the most draÂmatÂic moments in the hisÂtoÂry of our counÂtry,” O’Brien says to SilÂver. “TheÂse’s a danÂger,” he then deadÂpans, “that you’re takÂing the fun out of it.” We jumped on O’Brien’s new long-form interÂview web series last month, feaÂturÂing his conÂverÂsaÂtions with presÂiÂdenÂtial hisÂtoÂriÂan Edmund MorÂris and “comÂeÂdy masÂterÂmind” Judd ApaÂtow. SilÂver, the proÂgram’s third guest, perÂfectÂly conÂtinÂues its short but strong traÂdiÂtion of perÂsonÂalÂiÂties who bring both zeitÂgeist relÂeÂvance and intelÂlecÂtuÂal subÂstance. The choice also taps into a well of pubÂlic curiosÂiÂty — a great many of us know of Nate SilÂver withÂout quite underÂstandÂing why we do — and finds a reserve of goofiÂness to match O’Brien’s own. (If you doubt this, behold SilÂver’s CookÂie MonÂster t‑shirt.) So think hard when you watch this conÂverÂsaÂtion about politÂiÂcal echo chamÂbers, media fragÂmenÂtaÂtion, data’s relaÂtionÂship to instinct, and mathÂeÂmatÂiÂcal modÂelÂing. But do feel free to laugh at the jokes.
RelatÂed conÂtent:
Conan O’Brien Plays CharÂlie Rose, Talks PresÂiÂdenÂtial HisÂtoÂry with Edmund MorÂris
CelebriÂty StaÂtisÂtiÂcian Nate SilÂver Fields QuesÂtions from Data WizÂards at Google
ColÂin MarÂshall hosts and proÂduces NoteÂbook on Cities and CulÂture. FolÂlow him on TwitÂter at @colinmarshall.